Predictions // 92nd ACADEMY AWARDS - August 2019

Festival season shakes things up.



Last updated: August 31, 2019


Quentin Tarantino's Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is still the film to beat, with a massive box office to prove it. Though, festival season is in full gear, with the word on the street anticipating big things from Joker.


Should Joker prove monumental, Joaquin Phoenix could shift from predicted nominee to predicted winner. It's wild to think the only comic book character to win its actors an Oscar could be the Joker. Tom Hanks is still sitting right on the line of potential acting nominees. It all hinges on A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood's reviews out of Toronto in a couple of weeks.


Speaking of Toronto, The Goldfinch will finally earn its first big screenings, giving us a glimpse as to whether the literary drama will sneak into the awards season race and if Nicole Kidman will be up for another Oscar nomination. Plus, Noah Baumbach's relationship drama, Marriage Story, gets its first glimpse after a buzzed-about trailer and poster premiere this week.


If Twitter means anything, Joon-Ho Bong's Parasite is starting to swirl in conversation for many. While it's in Korean, it has potential to follow last year's Roma to major success and even a possible Best Picture win (the first-ever for a foreign language film).


Still to be seen, Little Women, Cats, and a number of others. Festival season will be over by the time we get to our next list of predictions and things are sure to be shaken up.


Check in each week for updated predictions. BOLD indicates predicted winners.


To see March 2019's predictions, click here.

To see April 2019's predictions, click here.

To see May 2019's predictions, click here.

To see June 2019's predictions, click here.

To see July 2019's predictions, click here.


BEST PICTURE


1917

Dir. Sam Mendes

Pippa Harris, Callum McDougall, Sam Mendes, Jayne-Ann Tenggren

(Universal Pictures)


A HIDDEN LIFE

Dir. Terrence Malick

Prods. Christoph Fisser, Josh Jeter, Marcus Loges, Henning Molfenter, Charlie Woebcken

(Awaiting US Distribution)


THE IRISHMAN

Dir. Martin Scorsese

Prods. Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal, Gaston Pavlovich, Randall Emmett, Emma Tillinger Koskoff

(Netflix)


LITTLE WOMEN

Dir. Greta Gerwig

Prods. Denise Di Novi, Amy Pascal, Robin Swicord, Arnon Milchan

(Sony Pictures)


MARRIAGE STORY

Dir. Noah Baumbach

Prods. Noah Baumbach, David Heyman, Craig Shilowhich

(Netflix)


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Dir. Quentin Tarantino

Prods. Quentin Tarantino, David Heyman, Shannon McINtosh

(Sony Pictures)


PARASITE

Dir. Joon Ho Bong

Prods. Young-Hwan Jang, Kwak Sin-ae

(NEON)


THE REPORT

Dir. Scott Z. Burns

Prods. Scott Z. Burns, Jennifer Fox, Danny Gabai, Eddy Moretti, Kerry Orent, Steven Soderbergh, Michael Sugar

(Amazon Studios)



BEST DIRECTOR


Noah Baumbach

MARRIAGE STORY


Joon-Ho Bong

PARASITE


Sam Mendes

1917


Martin Scorsese

THE IRISHMAN


Quentin Tarantino

ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD



BEST ACTRESS


Cynthia Erivo

HARRIET


Scarlett Johansson

MARRIAGE STORY


Saoirse Ronan

LITTLE WOMEN


Alfre Woodard

CLEMENCY


Renee Zellweger

JUDY



BEST ACTOR


Antonio Banderas

PAIN & GLORY


Robert De Niro

THE IRISHMAN


Leonardo DiCaprio

ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD


Adam Driver

MARRIAGE STORY


Joaquin Phoenix

JOKER



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS


Annette Bening

THE REPORT


Laura Dern

MARRIAGE STORY


Nicole Kidman

THE GOLDFINCH


Margot Robbie

ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD


Meryl Streep

THE LAUNDROMAT



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR


Willem Dafoe

THE LIGHTHOUSE


Leslie Odom Jr.

HARRIET


Al Pacino

THE IRISHMAN


Brad Pitt

ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD


Matthew Rhys

A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


THE FAREWELL

Lulu Wang


MARRIAGE STORY

Noah Baumbach


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Quentin Tarantino


PARASITE

Joon-Ho Bong, Jin Won Han


QUEEN & SLIM

Lena Waithe, James Frey



BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY


THE GOLDFINCH

Peter Straughan


THE IRISHMAN

Steven Zaillian


JOJO RABBIT

Taika Waititi


THE LAST THING HE WANTED

Dee Rees, Marco Villalobos


LITTLE WOMEN

Greta Gerwig



BEST ORIGINAL SCORE


1917

Thomas Newman


AD ASTRA

Max Richter


HARRIET

Terence Blanchard


A HIDDEN LIFE

James Newton Howard


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

John Williams



BEST ORIGINAL SONG


ALADDIN

"Speechless"


FROZEN II

"TBD"


QUEEN & SLIM

"TBD"


TOY STORY 4

"The Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy"


TOY STORY 4

"I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away"



BEST ANIMATED FEATURE


ABONIMABLE

Prods. Suzanne Buirgy, Dave Polsky, Van Toffer, Jill Culton

(Universal Pictures)


FROZEN II

Prods. Peter Del Vecho, Jennifer Lee, Chris Buck

(Walt Disney Pictures)


MISSING LINK

Prods. Chris Butler, Travis Knight, Arianne Sutner

(Annapurna Pictures)


OKKO'S INN

Prods. Kitaro Kosaka, Shuhei Arai

(GKIDS)


TOY STORY 4

Prods. Jonas Rivera, Mark Nielsen

(Disney/Pixar)



BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM


BENEDETTA

(Netherlands)


EMA

(Chile)


PAIN & GLORY

(Spain)


PARASITE

(South Korea)


PORTRAIT DE LA JEUNE FILLE EN FEU

(France)



BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE


APOLLO 11

Prods. Todd Douglas Miller, Thomas Petersen, Evan Krauss

(NEON)


AQUARELA

Prod. Victor Kossakovsky

(Sony Pictures Classics)


KNOCK DOWN THE HOUSE

Prod. Rachel Lears

(Netflix)


LOVE, ANTOSHA

Prods. J.J. Abrams, John Cho, Jodie Foster, Martin Landau

(United Talent Agency)


MAIDEN

Prods. Victoria Gregory, Alex Holmes

(Sony Pictures Classics)



BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY


1917

Roger Deakins


AD ASTRA

Hoyte Van Hoytema


A HIDDEN LIFE

Jorg Widmer


THE IRISHMAN

Rodrigo Prieto


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Robert Richardson



BEST VISUAL EFFECTS


AD ASTRA

Christopher Downs, Jiwoong Kim, Bradley Parker


AVENGERS: ENDGAME

Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Kelly Port, Daniel Sudick


THE IRISHMAN

Pablo Helman, Jiwoong Kim


THE LION KING

Robert Legato, Elliot Newman, Adam Valdez


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

Roger Guyett, Dominic Tuohy



BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN


1917

TBD


CATS

Eve Stewart


HARRIET

Warren Alan Young, Marthe Pineau


LITTLE WOMEN

Claire Kaufman


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh



BEST COSTUME DESIGN


1917

Jacqueline Durran


ALADDIN

Michael Wilkinson


DOWNTON ABBEY

Anna Mary Scott Robbins


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Arianne Phillips


ROCKETMAN

Julian Day



BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING


ALADDIN

Christine Blundell


HARRIET

Belinda Anderson, Angie Wells


JOKER

NIcki Ledermann, Kay Georgiou


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Janine Rath, Heba Thorisdottir


ROCKETMAN

Lizzie Georgiou, Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou



BEST SOUND EDITING


1917

TBD


AVENGERS: ENDGAME

Samson Neslund, Shannon Mills


FORD V FERRARI

TBD


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Harry Cohen, Leo Marcil


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

David Acord, Matthew Wood



BEST SOUND MIXING


1917

TBD


AVENGERS: ENDGAME

Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta, Douglas Parker


FORD V. FERRARI

Richard Bullock, Jr., Paul Massey, Steven Morrow


ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD

Michael Minkler


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

Ben Burtt, Andy Nelson



BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM


Predictions to be announced soon.



BEST ANIMATED SHORT


Predictions to be announced soon.



BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT


Predictions to be announced soon.


© 2018 by Scottie Knollin.

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