Predictions // 92nd ACADEMY AWARDS - December 2019

All signs are pointing for a big awards season for Netflix.



Last updated: December 31, 2019


Not only have all films been seen by at least some people (most of us are still waiting for 1917, that didn't receive a holiday release, for some reason), but all the major nominations have been announced. Well, that is, all but the Oscar nominations have been announced.


Netflix is counting a surprising number of wins this season for juggernauts The Irishman and Marriage Story. Even if neither actually win a lot of trophies, their casts and crews with be attending plenty of ceremonies over the next month.


Parasite is still considered a plausible "surprise" winner, but more people are assuming it will go the way of Roma last year and receive a number of nominations, but only win in the International Feature category.


If anything could shake all of this up, it's Once Upon a Time...In Hollywood. The Quentin Tarantino film has enough good charity that it could sneak in as the overall favorite. In terms of our guesses, it's the film to beat.


In other categories, not much has shifted. Jennifer Lopez is still expected to earn her first nominations.


The nominations for the 92nd Academy Awards will be announced on January 13, 2020. The Oscars will be held Sunday, February 9, 2020.


Check-in each week for updated predictions. BOLD indicates predicted winners.


To see March 2019's predictions, click here.

To see April 2019's predictions, click here.

To see May 2019's predictions, click here.

To see June 2019's predictions, click here.

To see July 2019's predictions, click here.

To see August 2019's predictions, click here.

To see September 2019's predictions, click here.

To see October 2019's predictions, click here.

To see November 2019's predictions, click here.


BEST PICTURE


1917

Dir. Sam Mendes

Pippa Harris, Callum McDougall, Sam Mendes, Jayne-Ann Tenggren

(Universal Pictures)


FORD V FERRARI

Dir. James Mangold

Peter Chernin, Lucas Foster, Alex Young, Kevin Halloran, James Mangold

(20th Century Fox)


THE IRISHMAN

Dir. Martin Scorsese

Prods. Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Jane Rosenthal, Gaston Pavlovich, Randall Emmett, Emma Tillinger Koskoff

(Netflix)


JOJO RABBIT

Dir. Taika Waititi

Prods. Taika Waititi, Carthew Neal, Chelsea Winstanley

(Fox Searchlight Pictures)


MARRIAGE STORY

Dir. Noah Baumbach

Prods. Noah Baumbach, David Heyman, Craig Shilowhich

(Netflix)


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Dir. Quentin Tarantino

Prods. Quentin Tarantino, David Heyman, Shannon McIntosh

(Sony Pictures)


PARASITE

Dir. Joon Ho Bong

Prods. Young-Hwan Jang, Kwak Sin-ae

(NEON)



BEST DIRECTOR


Noah Baumbach

MARRIAGE STORY


Bong Joon ho

PARASITE


Sam Mendes

1917


Martin Scorsese

THE IRISHMAN


Quentin Tarantino

ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD



BEST ACTRESS


Cynthia Erivo

HARRIET


Scarlett Johansson

MARRIAGE STORY


Saoirse Ronan

LITTLE WOMEN


Charlize Theron

BOMBSHELL


Renee Zellweger

JUDY



BEST ACTOR


Robert De Niro

THE IRISHMAN


Leonardo DiCaprio

ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD


Adam Driver

MARRIAGE STORY


Joaquin Phoenix

JOKER


Jonathan Pryce

THE TWO POPES



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS


Kathy Bates

RICHARD JEWELL


Laura Dern

MARRIAGE STORY


Jennifer Lopez

HUSTLERS


Florence Pugh

LITTLE WOMEN


Margot Robbie

BOMBSHELL



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR


Willem Dafoe

THE LIGHTHOUSE


Anthony Hopkins

THE TWO POPES


Al Pacino

THE IRISHMAN


Joe Pesci

THE IRISHMAN


Brad Pitt

ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY


THE FAREWELL

Lulu Wang


KNIVES OUT

Rian Johnson


MARRIAGE STORY

Noah Baumbach


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Quentin Tarantino


PARASITE

Joon-Ho Bong, Jin Won Han



BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY


HUSTLERS

Lorene Scafaria


THE IRISHMAN

Steven Zaillian


JOJO RABBIT

Taika Waititi


LITTLE WOMEN

Greta Gerwig


THE TWO POPES

Anthony McCarten



BEST ORIGINAL SCORE


1917

Thomas Newman


A HIDDEN LIFE

James Newton Howard


LITTLE WOMEN

Alexandre Desplat


MARRIAGE STORY

Randy Newman


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

John Williams



BEST ORIGINAL SONG


ALADDIN

"Speechless"


FROZEN II

"Into the Unknown"


THE LION KING

"Spirit"


TOY STORY 4

"I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away"


WILD ROSE

"Glasgow (No Place Like Home)"



BEST ANIMATED FEATURE


FROZEN II

Prods. Peter Del Vecho, Jennifer Lee, Chris Buck

(Walt Disney Pictures)


I LOST MY BODY

Prod. Jeremy Clapin

(Netflix)


MISSING LINK

Prods. Chris Butler, Travis Knight, Arianne Sutner

(Annapurna Pictures)


OKKO'S INN

Prods. Kitaro Kosaka, Shuhei Arai

(GKIDS)


TOY STORY 4

Prods. Jonas Rivera, Mark Nielsen

(Disney/Pixar)



BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM


ATLANTICS

(Senegal)


LES MISERABLES

(France)


MONOS

(Colombia)


PAIN & GLORY

(Spain)


PARASITE

(South Korea)



BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE


APOLLO 11

Prods. Todd Douglas Miller, Thomas Petersen, Evan Krauss

(NEON)


THE BIGGEST LITTLE FARM

Prod. John Chester, Molly Chester, Matthew Pilachowski

(NEON)


HONEYLAND

Prod. Hatidze Muratova, Nazife Muratova, Hussein Sam, Ljutvie Sam


MAIDEN

Prods. Victoria Gregory, Alex Holmes

(Sony Pictures Classics)


ONE CHILD NATION

Prods. Nanfu Wang, Jialing Zhang, Christoph Jorg, Julie Goldman, Christopher Clements, Carolyn Hepburn



BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY


1917

Roger Deakins


FORD V FERRARI

Phedon Papamichael


A HIDDEN LIFE

Jorg Widmer


THE IRISHMAN

Rodrigo Prieto


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Robert Richardson



BEST VISUAL EFFECTS


AD ASTRA

Christopher Downs, Jiwoong Kim, Bradley Parker


AVENGERS: ENDGAME

Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Kelly Port, Daniel Sudick


THE IRISHMAN

Pablo Helman, Jiwoong Kim


THE LION KING

Robert Legato, Elliot Newman, Adam Valdez


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

Roger Guyett, Dominic Tuohy



BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN


1917

Dennis Gassner


KNIVES OUT

David Crank, David Schlesinger


LITTLE WOMEN

Claire Kaufman


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh


THE TWO POPES

Mark Tildesley, Véronique Melery



BEST COSTUME DESIGN


ALADDIN

Michael Wilkinson


DOLEMITE IS MY NAME

Ruth E. Carter


LITTLE WOMEN

Jacqueline Durran


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Arianne Phillips


ROCKETMAN

Julian Day



BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING


ALADDIN

Christine Blundell


BOMBSHELL

Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan, Vivian Baker


JOKER

Nicki Ledermann, Kay Georgiou


JUDY

Jeremy Woodhead


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Janine Rath, Heba Thorisdottir



BEST SOUND EDITING


1917

TBD


AD ASTRA

Grant Elder


FORD V FERRARI

TBD


ONCE UPON A TIME IN...HOLLYWOOD

Harry Cohen, Leo Marcil


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

David Acord, Matthew Wood



BEST SOUND MIXING


1917

TBD


AVENGERS: ENDGAME

Tom Johnson, Juan Peralta, Douglas Parker


FORD V. FERRARI

Richard Bullock, Jr., Paul Massey, Steven Morrow


JUDY

Paul Cotterell, Johnathan Rush


STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER

Ben Burtt, Andy Nelson



BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM


Predictions to be announced soon.



BEST ANIMATED SHORT


Predictions to be announced soon.



BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT


Predictions to be announced soon.


© 2018 by Scottie Knollin.

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